Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.047534 0.055434 0.064113 0.074339 0.086041 0.098995 0.114402
2025-05-18 0.034519 0.044553 0.056607 0.072086 0.091359 0.114484 0.144243
2025-05-25 0.026243 0.037039 0.051063 0.070456 0.096398 0.129696 0.175429
2025-06-01 0.021147 0.032307 0.047833 0.070732 0.103305 0.147572 0.211782
2025-06-08 0.016849 0.027697 0.043767 0.068894 0.106664 0.160664 0.242847
2025-06-15 0.014868 0.026053 0.043553 0.072323 0.117643 0.185270 0.292408
2025-06-22 0.012583 0.023454 0.041375 0.072273 0.123149 0.202158 0.332088
2025-06-29 0.010436 0.020653 0.038366 0.070331 0.125215 0.213717 0.364424
2025-07-06 0.008874 0.018578 0.036215 0.069418 0.128670 0.227558 0.401372
2025-07-13 0.008228 0.018092 0.036765 0.073220 0.140453 0.255979 0.464541
2025-07-20 0.007515 0.017336 0.036682 0.075803 0.150273 0.281853 0.525522
2025-07-27 0.006414 0.015573 0.034393 0.073887 0.151606 0.292974 0.561775
2025-08-03 0.005573 0.014240 0.032810 0.073230 0.155393 0.309132 0.609025
2025-08-10 0.004726 0.012729 0.030626 0.071055 0.155982 0.319472 0.646659
2025-08-17 0.004056 0.011499 0.028849 0.069469 0.157519 0.331669 0.688739
2025-08-24 0.003612 0.010738 0.027997 0.069752 0.162886 0.351662 0.747280
2025-08-31 0.003102 0.009696 0.026322 0.067943 0.163575 0.362382 0.788504
2025-09-07 0.002944 0.009582 0.026865 0.071330 0.175932 0.397776 0.881776
2025-09-14 0.002627 0.008950 0.026018 0.071283 0.180583 0.417565 0.944766
2025-09-21 0.002268 0.008111 0.024496 0.069365 0.180711 0.427746 0.988553
2025-09-28 0.001999 0.007485 0.023439 0.068464 0.183100 0.442958 1.044093
2025-10-05 0.001930 0.007494 0.024138 0.072219 0.197080 0.484828 1.160162
2025-10-12 0.001822 0.007349 0.024375 0.074769 0.208348 0.521478 1.267386